April 2010 Knoxville Home Sales Report

June 1, 2010

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OK, so I’m really, really behind in getting these April Home Sales Report numbers from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors to you this month. Sometimes the day job kinda gets in the way.

April 30, 2010, as you may remember (yeah, I know it was a long time ago), was the deadline for buyers to be under contract in order to take advantage of the First Time and Move-Up Buyer Tax Credits. And yes, as you’ll shortly see, sales were definitely up as a result of this. But also keep in mind, that there’s another deadline involved with those tax credits: June 30, 2010. That’s the date by which all of those houses that were put under contract will have to close. So, while sales numbers may not be quite as high in May and June as they were for this month, my guess is there still going to be fairly elevated.

But I’m getting a little bit ahead of myself. Before we can speculate on what will happen later in the summer, we need to take a look at what just happened in the spring. So join me as I break down the March Home Sales numbers the only way I know how: AAKT style. Enjoy!

You know I like to start with the good news, and thankfully there is some -

Total number of single family units sold is once again (way) up.
Apr ‘09 – 830
Apr ‘10 – 1071

Total number of condo units sold is (way) up.
Apr ‘09 – 78
Apr ‘10 – 111

Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is (way) up.
Apr ‘09 – $296,000
Apr ‘10 – $319,000

Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is (ever so slightly) up.
Apr ‘09 – $249,000
Apr ‘10 – $249,900

But there’s also some of that nasty not-so-good news -

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is (way) down.
Apr ‘09 – $123,800
Apr ‘10 – $91,700

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is (slightly) down.
Apr ‘09 – $74,700
Apr ‘10 – $73,500

Average sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Apr ‘09 – $151,300
Apr ‘10 – $145,600
——————
Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Apr ‘09 – $139,600
Apr ‘10 – $132,000
____
Average condo sales price is  down.
Apr ‘09 – $160,300
Apr ‘10 – $155,900
Median condo sales price is down.
Apr ‘09 – $149,000
Apr ‘10 – $141,000
J————–__———-
Days on market is (slightly) up.
Apr ‘09 – 109
Apr ‘10 – 119
——–
Then there’s the “Conventional loans: don’t call it a comeback!” news-

Conventional loans were once again up
Apr ‘09 – 395
Apr ‘10 – 455

…and so (of course) were FHA loans.
Apr ‘09 – 182
Apr ‘10 – 266

And here’s the “No, seriously. Let’s list before the tax credits expire” news-

The number of new residential listings was up...
Apr ‘09 – 2,725
Apr ‘10 – 3,092

…and the number of new condo listings was (way) up.
Apr ‘09 – 285
Apr ‘10 – 389

Finally there’s the “will we ever get this pricing stuff straight” news -

The average list price for new residential home listings was (way, way) down.
Apr ‘09 – $376,700
Apr ‘10 – $239,700
… while the average list price for new condo listings was (way) up (blurg).
Apr ‘09 – $285,000
Apr ‘10 – $380,000
___
_
As always, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:

  1. Knoxville residential and condo sales are still chugging along like the little engine that could, although prices of mid-size and smaller homes are still falling.
  2. Higher end homes, somewhat surprisingly, actually bounced back price-wise last month. Huh. Didn’t see that one comin’.
  3. The market enjoyed the final month of the magical combo of home buyer tax credits,low interest rates, and availability of FHA financing. Stay tuned to see whether the latter two will sustain us through the summer.
  4. Conventional loans continued the comeback they started last month. This makes me wonder if qualified buyers (especially those buying in the upper ranges) who have been waiting for a good low point to jump into the market have finally taken the plunge.
  5. That sound you don’t hear is agents and home sellers all over Knox County holding their collective breath to see where the market is headed now that these tax credits have expired. Hey, at least the rates are still super low…right?

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ‘09 and ‘10. Enjoy and please feel free to share your thoughts and observations.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

The Weekly Poll: What will happen when the home buyer tax credits expire?

April 25, 2010

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Hourglass Shadow
Creative Commons License photo credit: Brooks Elliott

The weekly poll  is frantically searching for a house to buy by Friday. Go vote and tell it to call a good agent for some help.

This week’s poll topic is one that I’ve been living and breathing for the past month: the home buyer tax credits and their looming expiration. Specifically, I’m curious about what you think will happen, once the deadline for those credits (buyers must be under contract by April 30th) comes in just 5 short days.

A lot of agents — and home sellers — are nervous that the increase in sales we’ve seen over the last few months will slow significantly once the tax credits expire.* Me, I’m not so sure: I’ve already had two first time home buyers tell me that they will buy a home whether they qualify for the tax credit or not. And ultimately, the bottom line is that, tax credit or no tax credit, people will still have to move and that means they will still be buying and selling home here in Knoxville.

So, what about you? What do you think will happen once the home buyer tax credits expire? Do you think dark days are ahead without those $8,000 and $6,500 incentives? Or do you think the market will shake it off and keep improving? Cast your vote and let me know!

*Keep in mind that even though the credits are expiring for the general population, we did just get word that they will be extended for military families and active-duty service members currently living overseas.

You don’t have to worry about expiration dates or deadlines when you need to get the latest information on the Knoxville real estate market .  Just have it delivered straight to your feed reader or inbox by subscribing to All Around KTown today!

The Weekly Poll: Should the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit be extended?

October 4, 2009

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Capitol at Sunset
The weekly poll is tied up in legislation. Why don’t you go tell it it’s time to vote already?

This week’s topic is about the $8,000 First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit and whether or not you think it should be extended or even expanded.  The deadline for getting the tax credit is coming up on December 1st, which may seem like a ways off, except that in order to be eligible for the credit, your sale must be finalized (read: closed) by Nov. 30th. So, a lot of folks are saying that the real date to keep in mind now is Oct. 16, as that’s the date a buyer would actually need to have a home under contract by in order to safely be able to close a home loan by Nov. 3oth.

As of right now, there are six (!) bills circulating in the House and the Senate that would extend and/or expand the $8,000 tax credit.

Now, there’s no question that this tax credit has been popular with first time buyers: the National Association of Realtors (NAR) estimates that almost 2 million buyers have taken advantage of the tax credit and that at least 350,000 of those sales would not have taken place without the credit (I know that credit is part of the reason I’ve stayed so busy this year). And it’s no secret that the NAR – as well as most real estate agents – would like to see this credit extended into 2010.

But as the deadline for the credit draws near, more and more folks – some of them (gasp!) agents – are coming forward with arguments as to why it should not be extended.  Some argue that the ultimate financial costs to the country outweigh the short term benefits to individual buyers and real estate markets. Others argue that that extending the tax credit will only delay the final bottoming out and recovery of the housing market.  Greg Cooper over at AgentGenius puts it this way, “[The tax credit] is really like pouring sugar in a 10-year-old: eventually there’s going to be a terrible crash.”

But I’m a real estate agent, not an economist, so I’m curious what you guys think. Do you think the First Time Home Buyer Tax Credit should be extended? Should it even be expanded to include people other than first time buyers? Or do you think its served its purpose and it’s now time to let the market recover naturally? Cast your vote and let me know.

You don’t have to be a real estate expert to get the latest news on the Knoxville real estate market. You just have to sign up to receive regular updates from All Around KTown in a feed reader or by email today!

Creative Commons License photo credit: vgm8383

Weekly Poll: How long are you planning to stay in your home?

July 5, 2009

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TIME

The weekly poll is thinking about moving again. Go vote and convince it to stay put.

This week’s topic is about your home and how long you plan to stay in it. While the much touted $8,000 first time home buyer tax credit has undoubtedly nudged many first time buyers into the housing market this year, there’s still some concern that many would be “move-up” buyers — those looking to move up into bigger and/or better homes — are simply choosing to stay put during these tough economic times. Some lawmakers have even gone so far as to suggest a $15,000 tax credit for all home buyers in order to try to give these move-up buyers some incentive to go ahead and get packing.

Still, statistics show that Americans are moving less often than they used to, so while that tax credit might help encourage some potential buyers who are on the fence, it’s probably not going to do much for the people who simply aren’t planning on going anywhere any time soon.

So what about you? How long are you planning to stay in your current home? Are you waiting for a brighter economic outlook or are you simply right at home where you currently hang your hat? Cast your vote and let me know.

You don’t have to wait for a move to get the latest info on the Knoxville real estate market  – just sign up to receive regular updates from All Around KTown in a feed reader or by email today!

Creative Commons License photo credit: FABIOLA MEDEIROS- direção de arte

April 2009 Knoxville Home Sales Report

May 27, 2009

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It’s Home Sales Report time! It’s Home Sales Report time!

We’re well into the spring buying and selling season, and last month I had predicted that sales numbers might be up this month due to all the activity I’ve been seeing as well as the $8,000 first time home buyer tax credit and super low rates. Well, I was kind of wrong. It happens.

But don’t lose hope yet! While the actual number of sales is still down, there actually is some good news buried in the numbers this month, and it’s a lot more good news than we’ve seen in a long, long time.

So let  break down the April home sale numbers the only way that I know how — AAKT style –  and tell you all about it.

First let’s start with …OMG look at all this good  news!

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is (way) up.
Apr ‘08 – $90,900
Apr ‘09 – $123,800

Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is up.
Apr ‘08 – $283,700
Apr ‘09 – $296,000
——————
Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is up.
Apr ‘08 – $240,000
Apr ‘09 – $249,000
—–
Median condo sales price is up.
Apr ‘08 – $142,900
Apr ‘09 – $149,000

And, of course, there’s the inevitable not-so-good news -

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is (slightly) down.
Apr ‘08 – $79,200
Apr ‘09 – $74,700

Average sales price for 3 BR homes is (way) down.
Apr ‘08 – $163,600
Apr ‘09 – $151,300

Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Apr ‘08 – $149,000
Apr ‘09 – $139,600

Average condo sales price is down.
Apr ‘08 – $164,300
Apr ‘09 – $160,300

—–
Total number of single family units sold is (way) down.
Apr ‘08 – 1,144
Apr ‘09 – 830
Total number of condo units sold is (way) down.
Apr ‘08 – 147
Apr ‘09 – 78
Days on market is up.
Apr ‘08 – 100
Apr ‘09 – 109
——–
And then there’s the “yeah, it’s been about a year since everyone started going FHA” news:

Conventional loans were once again way down
Apr ‘08 – 753
Apr ‘09 – 395

…while FHA loans were only slightly up from this time last year.
Apr ‘08 – 162
Apr ‘09 – 182

And here’s the “whoa, what’s up with condo owners” news-

The number of new residential listings was – not suprisingly -down...
Apr ‘08 – 3,053
Apr ‘09 – 2,725

…but the number of new condo listings was way, way down.
Apr ‘08 – 435
Apr ‘09 – 285

Finally there’s the “that sound you hear is me beating my head against the wall” news*-

—T
The average list price for new condo listings was up.
Apr ‘08 – $184,300
Apr ‘09 – $192,600
——
*Average listing price for new residential listings was so high ($ 3 million+), I’m pretty sure it’s a mistake, so I’m not including it in the breakdown this month.
So, as always, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:

  1. Knoxville residential and condo sales are still soft as little baby chicks.*
  2. Small home prices are still rallying, possibly due to the wealth of  first time buyers in the market right now.
  3. Larger home prices also made a surprising rally this month, maybe because the “move-up” buyers are jumping on the low rates and high inventory.
  4. Condo prices also cret up last month, but summer is, after all, UT student condo buying time in east TN.
  5. FHA loans are here to stay.
  6. All this inventory isn’t going anywhere fast until sellers start reducing their prices. Sorry, Mr. & Mrs. Seller.
  7. Since overall sales are down, but all the agents I know are busy, busy, busy, I’m wondering if  that means: the greatly reduced number of Knoxville real estate agents = a lot more business for the ones of us left standing.

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ‘08 and here is ‘09. Enjoy and please feel free to share your thoughts and observations.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

The Weekly Poll: Will the $8,000 home buyer tax credit help the Knoxville housing market?

February 22, 2009

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163-365 - 6/12/08  Meat Stimulation

The weekly poll is ready for your voting pleasure. Don’t leave it hangin’.

This week’s poll question has to do with something people in my line of work are talking a lot about these days: the $8,000 Home Buyer Tax Credit that was a part of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009.

Even though the tax credit may be a little hard to understand, it looks like it could be a very good thing for first-time buyers and for local real estate.  But what do you think about the credit? Will it jump start the housing market by  encouraging potential  home buyers to make a move, or is it just a nice perk for those already in the market to buy? Cast your vote and let me know.

While I may not be able to give you a tax credit, I can always give you all the latest news on the Knoxville real estate market -  Just subscribe to All Around KTown by RSS or email today!

Creative Commons License photo credit: The Joy Of The Mundane

New $8,000 Homebuyer Tax Credit

February 15, 2009

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Courtesy of the National Association of Realtors – yes, I always knew they were good for something- we finally have the details of the new home buyer tax credit from the recently passed  stimulus bill, or the “American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009″ as it is now officially called.  According to the NAR:

The bill provides for a $8,000 tax credit that would be available to first-time home buyers for the purchase of a principal residence on or after January 1, 2009 and before December 1, 2009.  The credit does not require repayment.  Most of the mechanics of the credit will be the same as under the 2008 rules:  the credit will be claimed on a tax return to reduce the purchaser’s income tax liability.  If any credit amount remains unused, then the unused amount will be refunded as a check to the purchaser.

There is also a PDF file on the site with a table highlighting the differences between the old $7,500 tax credit and the new one.