Knoxville November 2008 Home Sales Report

December 19, 2008

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It’s the middle of December, which means the Knoxville Area Association of Realtor’s numbers are finally out for Knoxville’s November home sales. And trust me, I wish I had some Christmas cheer to spread, but I keep  reaching into this Home Sales Report stocking and all I’m pulling out is coal.

In case you’ve already forgotten all about November 2008, let me refresh your memory: Barack Obama won the presidential election; Germany & Japan officially went into recession; the US announced another rescue package, this time for Citigroup; and the Federal Reserve announced it would inject another $800 billion into the US economy to try to stabilize our flailing financial system. It was basically more fun than a barell full of monkeys. Very over-leveraged, cash poor, soon to be foreclosed on monkeys.

So, how did the Knoxville real estate market fare through all of that doom and gloom? Well, not too great. So, sit back, relax, and let me break it to you gently - All Around KTown style.

You know I like to start with the good news first -

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is up.
Nov ‘07 - $80,500
Nov ‘08 - $87,000

2008 is almost over.

Now for the not-so-good news:

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is (way) down.
Nov ‘07 - $99,200
Nov ‘08 - $85,900

Average sales price for 3 BR homes is (way) down.
Nov ‘07 - $167,600
Nov ‘08 - $155,800
——————
Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.

Nov ‘07 - $147,700
Nov ‘08 - $138,900

——————–
Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is (way, way) down.

Nov ‘07 - $309,700
Nov ‘08 - $244,500

———-
Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is (way) down.
Nov ‘07 - $249,000
Nov ‘08 - $224,500
…….
Median condo sales price is (way) down.
Nov ‘07 - $160,000
Nov ‘08 - $144,000
Total number of single family units sold is (way, way) down.
Nov ‘07 - 1045
Nov ‘08 - 659
———-————-
Total number of condo units sold is (way, way) down.
Nov ‘07 -115
Nov ‘08 -50
Days on market is up.
Nov ‘07 - 96
Nov ‘08 - 103
Then we have the ” either somebody bought some really expensive condos and skewed the average condo sales numbers or somebody made a typo” news -
Average condo sales price is through the roof.
Nov ‘07 - $184,300
Nov ‘08 - $622,700
——–
Then there’s the “yeah, yeah, we get it already, FHA loans rule the universe” news:
Conventional loans were down almost 50%..
Nov ‘07 -742
Nov ‘08 -328

…while FHA loans were up almost 200%.
Nov ‘07- 65
Nov ‘08- 125

And here’s the “Hey, maybe if I lower the price, I might actually sell this thing” news -

The average list price for new residential home listings was down.
Nov ‘07 - $233,700
Nov ‘08 - $224,400

The average list price for new condo listings was (slightly) down.
Nov ‘07 - $197,900
Nov ‘08 - $197,100
Finally there’s the “Honey, let’s wait until next year to list our house” news -
The number of new residential listings was (way) down...
Nov ‘07 - 2134
Nov ‘08 - 1780
and so were the number of new condo listings.
Nov ‘07 - 250
Nov ‘08 -205
So, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:
  1. The Knoxville housing market is definitely feeling the effects of the global financial crisis.
  2. Residential and condo sales are soft as a baby’s bottom.*
  3. FHA continues to rule the lending roost.
  4. A lot of buyers and sellers are choosing to wait until ‘09 to jump back into the market.
  5. Lower than low mortgage rates + generally crappy market +  winter + antsy sellers + lowering prices = OMG I wish I had some cash to invest in real estate.
  6. The best gift to get your Realtor this Christmas may be a book on how to write resumes. Yeah, I said it.

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ‘07 and here is ‘08. Enjoy and please feel free to share your thoughts and observations.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

October 2008 Knoxville Home Sales Report

November 18, 2008

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It’s already the middle of the month again, and you know what that means - Home Sales Report time!

So, remember October 2008? You know, the month we learned this all financial mess was spreading to Europe and beyond? The month that President Bush signed that $700 billion bailout package into law and then the Dow went and had its worst week on record anyway? The month when looking at your 401K was scarier than any Halloween haunted house in town?  Yep, that’s the October I’m talkin’ about.

So how did the Knoxville home market fare through all of October’s financial hullabaloo? Allow me to break it down for you the only way I know how — All Around KTown style. Word.

You know I like to start with the good news first  -

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is up.
Oct ‘07 - $82,700
Oct ‘08 - $93,000

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is up.
Oct ‘07 - $66,000
Oct ‘08 - $78,000

And that’s it for the good news. But hey, at least there was some this month. Now for the not so good news -

Average sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Oct ‘07 - $167,300
Oct ‘08 - $162,700
——————
Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.

Oct ‘07 - $148,500
Oct ‘08 - $143,000

——————–
Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is down.

Oct ‘07 - $304,300
Oct ‘08 - $295,900

———-
Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is (way) down.
Oct ‘07 - $259,000
Oct ‘08 - $240,800
And then there’s just a little bit more not so good news. Bear with me here, it’s almost over -
…….
Average condo sales price is slightly down.
Oct ‘07 - $183,200
Oct ‘08 - $182,600
————-
Median condo sales price is down.
Oct ‘07 - $154,700
Oct ‘08 - $146,000
Total number of single family units sold is (way, way) down.
Oct ‘07 - 1225
Oct ‘08 - 874
———-————-
Total number of condo units sold is (way) down.
Oct ‘07 -134
Oct ‘08 - 88
Days on market is up.
Oct ‘07 - 98
Oct ‘08 - 108
——–
Then there’s the “looks like FHA loans are here to stay” news:
Conventional loans were down almost 50%..
Oct ‘07 - 896
Oct ‘08 - 471

…while FHA loans were up over 200%.
Oct ‘07- 66
Oct ‘08- 149

And here’s the “what part of price conquers all don’t condo owners understand” news -

The average list price for new residential home listings went down…
Oct ‘07 - $237,600
Oct ‘08 - $235,600

…while the average list price for new condo listings went up.
Oct ‘07 - $191,200
Oct ‘08 - $202,000
Finally there’s the “methinks folks are scared to put their homes on the market right now” news -
The number of new residential listings was (way) down...
Oct ‘07 - 2855
Oct ‘08 - 2106
and  so were the number of new condo listings.
Oct ‘07 - 134
Oct ‘08 - 88
So, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:
  1. The Knoxville housing market is still in a slump, but hey at least this month’s numbers were slightly better than September, right?
  2. Residential and condo sales are still soft as an overripe melon.*
  3. Conventional loans are still hard to get and FHA is still where it’s at for a lot of buyers.
  4. Sellers who don’t absolutely have to sell right now probably aren’t, either due to fear of not being able to sell or fear of not being able to sell for a certain desired price.
  5. Provided you have good credit and some money for a down payment, it’s an awesome time to be a home buyer in Knoxville. Seriously, why are you still living in that apartment?
  6. Realtors need hugs and money, not necessarily in that order.

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ‘07 and here is ‘08. Enjoy and please feel free to share your thoughts and observations.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

The Weekly Poll 10/19/08

October 19, 2008

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Sad to stop, happy to go


The weekly poll is ready to go in its usual spot. Go get your vote on.

This week’s topic is the September Home Sales Report numbers that just came out and how you feel about them. Numbers were down all the way across the board last month, which is obviously not a good thing. But do you feel mad at the general state of the national economy? Glad that you don’t have a house to sell any time soon? Or maybe just sad that you don’t have any money to invest during this buyer’s market? Cast your vote and let me know.

Don’t get mad, get glad that you can get the latest news on the Knoxville real estate market any time you need it- subscribe to All Around KTown in a feed reader or by email today!

Creative Commons License photo credit: futureshape

September 2008 Knoxville Home Sales Report

October 18, 2008

(2) Comments

It’s time for the numbery goodness that is the monthly Home Sales Report - the monthly sales stats that come from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors. It’s fun stuff.

September was an ugly month for the financial market. I know you’ve been busy trying to keep up with all the global economic insanity that October has brought us, but it was just over a month ago that Fannie and Freddie were taken over by the governmet, Lehman Brothers collapsed, AIG was bailed out by the government, and Washington Mutual was seized by the FDIC. Those were the days, huh?

So how did all of that financial turmoil affect the housing market right here in good old Knoxville? There’s only one way I know to find out and that’s to breakdown the September Home Sales Report All Around K-Town style. Aw, yeah.

You know i like to start with the good news first. Except there isn’t any. Well, not about the home sale numbers, anyway. That’s right, NONE of the sales numbers went up. Go ahead, digest it and suck it up, because it’s time to move on to the not so good news. Ready? OK, here goes:

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is down.
Sept ‘07 - $107,400
Sept ‘08 - $88,600

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is down.
Sept ‘07 - $80,000
Sept ‘08 - $78,000

Average sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Sept ‘07 - $168,000
Sept ‘08 - $154,900
——————
Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Sept ‘07 - $149,000
Sept ‘08 - $142,500
——————–
Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is down.
Sept ‘07 - $303,000
Sept ‘08 - $289,700
———-
Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is down.
Sept ‘07 - $239,900
Sept ‘08 - $216,000
…….
Total number of single family units sold is down.
Sept ‘07 -1289
Sept ‘08 -931
———-————-
Days on market is up.
Sept ‘07 -94
Sept ‘08 -105
————–
And the “Yeah, condos are still tanking too” news:
————
Average condo sales price is down.
Sept ‘07 - $174,400
Sept ‘08 - $162,700
————-
Median condo sales price is down.
Sept ‘07 - $155,100
Sept ‘08 - $147,400
——–
Total number of condo units sold is (way, way) down.
Sept ‘07 -159
Sept ‘08 - 88
——————
Here’s the “what exactly does it take to qualify for a conventional loan these days?” news:

The number of homes closed using conventional loans has shrunk by 50%…

Sept ‘07 - 991
Sept ‘08 -480

…while the  number of homes closed using FHA loans has ballooned over 400%.
Sept ‘07- 46
Sept ‘08- 208

Finally, here’s the “seller’s are still hoping that price conquers all” news -

The average list price for new listings went down about 4%.
Sept ‘07 - $238,300
Sept ‘08 - $228,100

So, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:
  1. The Knoxville housing market is not doing so hot right now.
  2. Residential and condo sales are still super duper soft.*
  3. FHA loans are totally keeping me in a job.
  4. Sellers are cutting their list prices, but are still having a hard time selling, probably due to fear, high inventory and a lack of qualified buyers.
  5. Buyers are still making out like bandits. Closing costs and new appliances and repairs, oh my!
  6. Realtors are still eating ramen. I’m partial to the spicy shrimp flavor myself.

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ‘07 and here is ‘08.  Enjoy and please let me know if you notice anything interesting that I missed. I do occassionally miss things.

And yes, the 3rd quarter numbers are out too, so look for the breakdown on those some time next week.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

Sales Meeting Update

October 11, 2008

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Those of you who stop by on a regular basis know that once a month, my office gets together to drink bad coffee & dissect the previous month’s sales and listing numbers. And if you’ve been coming here for a while, you also know that if there’s any juicy or thought provoking information in those meetings, it winds up here, in the Sales Meeting Update.

This month’s meeting had some interesting charts that I thought were worth sharing, and my broker was kind enough to pass them on - even though she knows they’re doomed to end up here :)

This first one is a year over year comparison of new listings taken, pending sales, and closed sales, for just my office (CBWW West Town).

CBWW West Town Year Over Year Comparison

CBWW West Town Year Over Year Comparison

Yeah, it’s kind of ironic that they put the ‘08 numbers in black.  For those of you keeping score at home, that’s 40% fewer closings last month than a year ago last month. Aye carumba.

Now, keep in mind, these numbers are just for my office, and not for all of Knoxville, or even for all of Wallace & Wallace, but I can’t help but think that other companies are seeing similar trends. I’m sure the September Home Sales Report will shed more light on that when it comes out in a week or so.

Speaking of Home Sales Reports, there was also a chart from the August Home Sales Report data that I thought was interesting. It shows August closings for the entire Knoxville Area Association of Realtors going back 6 years-

What’s interesting to me about this slide is that although units sold are down considerably from ‘07,  average market time, although slightly elevated, has remained pretty steady.

And while ‘08 seems pretty rough in comparison to ‘05 & ‘06, it doesn’t look nearly as bad when you compare it to the pre-boom years of ‘03 and ‘04. Hey, I’m just trying to find something to be positive about over here, OK?

Well, that’s it for this month’s Sales Meeting Update. Comments and questions about these charts are, of course, welcome.

And as always, please keep in mind that I share this information with you in order to shed some light on the market, not to scare the bejeebus out of you. People really are still buying & selling homes out there and the last time I checked, there was even still money left for home mortgages. I hope.

Knoxville August 2008 Home Sales Report

September 18, 2008

(5) Comments

It’s that special time of the month again. The time when we pause to reflect on the previous month’s real estate activity. My people call it Home Sales Report time. August Home Sales Report, to be exact.

August seems like a million years ago now, what with all the craziness that the financial markets have seen so far this month, but it was just a few short weeks ago that Fannie and Freddie were not government controlled entities, Merrill Lynch was not Bank of America and Lehman Brothers was not totally screwed.

But I’m getting ahead of myself. We’ll get to deal with the fallout of all of that fun stuff in the September Home Sales Report. Right now it’s time for the August Home Sales Report breakdown just the way you like it — All Around K-Town style.

I think we could all use the good news first:

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is up.
August ‘07 - $95,500
August ‘08 - $98,100

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is up.
August ‘07 - $80,000
August ‘08 - $85,000

And yeah, that’s about it for the good news. Now for the not so good news:

Average sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
August ‘07 - $176,600
August ‘08 - $167,400
——————
Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
August ‘07 - $158,000
August ‘08 - $149,000
——————–
Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is down.
August ‘07 - $309,200
August ‘08 - $292,300
———-
Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is down.
August ‘07 - $260,000
August ‘08 - $249,900
Total number of single family units sold is (way, way) down.
August ‘07 -1727
August ‘08 -1140
———-————-

Days on market is up.
August ‘07 -91
August ‘08 -97
————–
And the “What? You mean the condo market is tanking, too?” news:
————
Average condo sales price is (way) down.
August ‘07 - $182,600
August ‘08 - $164,900
————-
Median condo sales price is (way, way) down.
August ‘07 - $190,000
August ‘08 - $144,800
——–
Total number of condo units sold is (way, way) down.
August ‘07 -326
August ‘08 -130
——————
Here’s the “If it weren’t for FHA, we wouldn’t be selling many houses” news:

The number of homes closed using FHA loans is more than 5 times what it was this time last year...
August ‘07- 43
August ‘08- 237


… while the number of homes closed using conventional loans is less than half what it was this time last year.

August ‘07 - 1314
August ‘08 -627

Then there’s the  “it’s not good news, but it’s better than it has been” news:

Residential active listings are only slightly up.
August ‘07 - 14, 641
August ‘08 -14,778

Finally, here’s the “it’s taken at least 6 months, but sellers are starting to get the hang of this buyers market stuff” news -

The average list price for new listings actually went down.
August ‘07 - $233,100
August ‘08 - $290,400

So, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:
  1. The Knoxville condo market has finally taken it’s long overdue turn in the toilet.
  2. Residential sales are still very, very soft.*
  3. Lower end homes are continuing the rally they started last month.
  4. Buyers are continuing to go FHA either voluntarily or by necessity, as conventional loans become harder and harder to get.
  5. Sellers are finally seeing the light and realizing that price does indeed conquer all, even a crappy market.
  6. Forget starving children in China. With a 34% decrease in closed sales, think of all the starving Realtors in Knoxville the next time you don’t want to eat your brussel sprouts.

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ‘07 and here is ‘08. Enjoy, and please let me know in the comments if you notice anything interesting that I missed. I wouldn’t want to miss anything interesting.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

July Home Sales Report

August 19, 2008

(1) Comment

It’s the middle of the month again and that means it’s Home Sales Report time. For those of you new to this shindig, every month I look at the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors Sales Report statistics and tell you what sold and for how much as compared to the same month the previous year.

So here’s the July Home Sales Report breakdown the only way I know how to do it — All Around K-Town style.

Let’s look at the good news first:

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is (way) up.
July ‘07 - $111,500
July ‘08 - $146,100

Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is up.
July ‘07 - $298,100
July ‘08 - $307,700

Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is (slightly) up.
July ‘07 - $261,700
July ‘08 - $262,500

Median condo sales price is up.

July ‘07 - $154,900
July ‘08 - $160,000
———
Now for the not so great news:

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is down.
July ‘07 - $84,900
July ‘08 - $74,500
——————
Average sales price for 3 BR homes is (way) down.
July ‘07 -$173,400
July ‘08 -$162,400
——————–
Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
July ‘07 -$154,900
July ‘08 -$146,200
————
Average condo sales price is (slightly) down.
July ‘07 - $179,800
July ‘08 - $178,200
——–
Total number of single family units sold is (way, way) down.
July ‘07 -1601
July ‘08 -1199
————
Total number of condo units sold is (way) down.
July ‘07 -187
July ‘08 -127
————-
Days on market is up.
July ‘07 -88
July ‘08 -102
———–
Here’s the “Yes, FHA continues to be the new sub-prime” news:

The number of FHA loans keeps going up and up and up...
July ‘07- 53
July ‘08- 209

…while, the number of conventional loans keeps going down, down, down.

July ‘07 - 1237
July ‘08 -719

Then there’s the “I guess a lot of homes really aren’t selling, are they?” news:

Residential active listings are still up.
July ‘07 - 14, 611
July ‘08 - 15,138

While residential listings taken are still down.
July ‘07 - 3142
July ‘08 -2876

Finally, here’s the “what part of competitive pricing in a buyer’s market don’t sellers understand?” news -

The average list price for new listings continues to be up. Way up.
July ‘07 - $233,100
July ‘08 - $290,400

So, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:
  1. Amidst declining sales, Knoxville condos are still doing a decent job of holding their value.
  2. Residential sales are still squeezably soft.*
  3. Upper end home prices made a suprising rally.
  4. Buyers are continuing to go FHA either voluntarily or by necessity.
  5. High inventory continues to be a key problem.
  6. Sellers are still refusing to admit that competitive pricing is key in a buyer’s market.
  7. With a 25% decrease in closed sales, I’m guessing many Knoxville area Realtors are enjoying a fine meal of Ramen noodles and tap water this evening.

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ‘07 and here is ‘08. Enjoy, and please let me know in the comments if I missed anything good. I hate missing good stuff.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

February Homes Sales Report Revisited

March 21, 2008

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Just what you wanted this week, more numbers, right? Josh Flory over at Property Scope has done his write-up on the Knoxville February Home Sales Report and he asks an interesting question:

“The median price for homes with two or fewer bedrooms, or four-plus bedrooms dropped, though. At the small end of the spectrum, the median price fell by a whopping 19.9 percent, to $62,500, while the median price at the high end fell by 3.7 percent, to $240,000.

Any thoughts on why this happened? One interesting quirk is the fact that there were 14 homes in the smallest category that sold for less than $20,000 in February, compared to only three in that category during February of 2007.”

I have no idea about the homes under $20,000 quirk, but as for the other, I think the answer has to do with the tightened mortgage qualificaiton criteria. People who would have bought on the lower end last year simply could not qualify this year, while folks looking to buy on the high side wound up qualifying for less loan and had to buy less house.

Does that make sense to anybody else or have I not had enough coffee today?

February Home Sales Report

March 19, 2008

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Better late than never - the February Home Sales Report numbers from KAARMLS are up. Let’s start with the good news first:

Average condo sales price is up.
Feb ‘07 - $164,300
Feb ‘08 - $169,500
Average sales price for homes with 4 or more bedrooms is up.
Feb ‘07 - $293,700
Feb ‘08 - $303,000
Now for the not so good news -
Average sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Feb ‘07 - $182,700
Feb ‘08 - $155,000
Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
Feb ‘07 - $141,600
Feb ‘08 - $145,000
Median sales price for homes with 4 or more bedrooms is down.
Feb ‘07 - $249,300
Feb ‘08 - $240,000
Total number of single family unit sales is down.
Feb ‘07 - 1,160
Feb ‘08 - 902
Days on market is up.
Feb ‘07 - 94
Feb ‘08 - 100
And finally, here’s the “sellers are either in total denial or are eternal optimists” news:
Average listing price for new listings is up.
Feb ‘07 - $246,100
Feb ‘08 - $264,600
So, here’s my not so scientific analysis:
1. The condo market is still chugging right along.
2. Residential sales are still soft*.
3. Sellers think it’s still 2005.
*Please keep in mind that lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.