adventures in knoxville real estate by suzy trotta

July 2009 Knoxville Home Sales Report

It’s time to check in with how the home sales are doing by looking back on last month’s Home Sales Report from the Knoxville Area Association of Realtors, also known as KAAR.

While the July numbers don’t seem so great at first glance, when you look at them in context with the earlier part of the year, as Josh Flory recently did, they don’t look so bad. Flory pointed out that although overall sales are down 13% compared to July ’08, sales have been getting “less bad” as the year has progressed:

January — Down 36 percent
February — Down 33 percent
March — Down nearly 28 percent
April — Down more than 27 percent
May — Down more than 25 percent
June — Down 15 percent
July — Down less than 13 percent

And in the current market, “less bad” is pretty darn good.

And now it’s time to  break down the July home sale numbers the only way that I know how — AAKT style.

You know I like to start with the good news, and thankfully there is some -

Median sales price for 2 or less BR homes is up.
July ’08 – $74,500
July ’09 – $82,000

Average sales price for 3 BR homes is the same (yes, this counts as good new in this market).
July ’08 – $162,400
July ’09 – $162,400

——————
Followed by all of the other not-so-good news -

Average sales price for 2 or less BR homes is (way) down.*
July ’08 – $146,100
July ’09 – $88,100

Median sales price for 3 BR homes is down.
July ’08 – $146,200
July ’09 – $137,300

Average sales price for 4+ BR homes is down.
July ’08 – $307,700
July ’09 – $267,000

Median sales price for 4+ BR homes is down.
July ’08 – $262,500
July ’09 – $239,000

Average condo sales price is down.
July ’08 – $178,200
July ’09 – $163,700

Median condo sales price is down.
July ’08 – $160,000
July ’09 – $144,500

—–
Total number of single family units sold is (just slightly) down.
July ’08 – 1,199
July ’09 – 1,044
Total number of condo units sold is down.
July ’08 – 127
July ’09 – 111
Days on market is up.
July ’08 – 102
July ’09 – 118
——–
And then there’s the “Remember when people got conventional loans?” news:

Conventional loans were once again down
July ’08 – 719
July ’09 – 502

…while FHA loans were once again up.
July ’08 – 209
July ’09 – 247

And here’s the “Honey, let’s just wait this whole thing out” news-

The number of new residential listings was down ...
July ’08 – 2,876
July ’09 – 2,618

…and so was the number of new condo listings.
July ’08 – 347
July ’09 – 348

Finally there’s the “Wow, when you guys finally get the ‘price conquers all’ thing, you really get it” news-

The average list price for new residential listings was (way) down...
July ’08 – $290,400
July ’09 – $227,200

…and so was the average list price for new condo listings.
July ’08 – $201,500
July ’09 – $181,100
—–
So, as always, here’s my completely unscientific analysis:

  1. Knoxville residential and condo sales are still soft, but maybe less soft than earlier this year.*
  2. Smaller homes continue to buck the falling price trend, most likely due to the $8,000 first time home buyer tax credit that’s coming to an end in a few short months.
  3. It’s a miracle! Not only are average list prices for houses and condos down, they’re down a lot. Better late than never, right?
  4. 2009 is proving to be the year of the FHA loan.
  5. With near record low interest rates, more home choices than you can shake a stick at, and the possibility of getting a big fat check back from Uncle Sam, this is one of the best buyer’s markets we’ve seen in quite some time. Renters say what?

If you’re interested in looking at both reports yourself, here is ’08 and here is ’09. Enjoy and please feel free to share your thoughts and observations.

*No need to freak out. Lower average sales price and lower median sales price do not necessarily mean that your personal home has depreciated.

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894 days ago 2 Comments Short URL

Author: Suzy

Hard working Knoxville real estate agent by day. Intrepid Knoxville real estate blogger by night.

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2 Comments

  1. [...] housing market, but this week I’m curious whether you think our market has hit bottom. The July Home Sales Report numbers just came out,  and, as Josh Flory pointed out, while sales aren’t back to where [...]

  2. [...] topic is about your neighborhood and how many homes are for sale in it. It’s no secret that the housing inventory in Knox County is pretty high, and in the last few months, I’ve noticed quite a few homes go up for sale in my own [...]

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